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History 2000- July 2016:
1- 2000-2003, Discovery of Efficiency
2- 2003-2004, Discovery of Serendipity
3- 2005-2006, Discovery of Golden Traingle Efficiency, Serendipity, Project. A researchable model.
4- 2006-2010, testing ESP-model on projects and expanding it with the Law of Murphy.
5- 2010-2013, further testing on projects and finding Nassim Taleb's Black Swan Theory. Then the "mirror" Blue Swan Theory was born.
6- 27th of December 2014, Finalizing the Blue Swan Theory with the Blue Swan Analysis.
7- Friday the 13th of November 2015, First official Blue Swan Analysis on a mega project of 700 million and with success. Also measuring of the OI ( Organizational Intelligence ) which is addable.
8- July 2016 expanding de Blue Swan Theory for stress relieving ( Stress is a Silent Killer and it also can explode! ) in projects and for de general public.
STEP 1: Plan July 16 - December 2017:
1- Q3 2016:
A- Expanding BST/BSA to other projects, companies, government, papers and cities in the Netherlands:
- Letter to mayors, papers and government
- Letter to companies
B- Expending BST/BSA to the airplane industrie, insurance companies and banks.
2 Q4 2016:
A- Status the Development of the Blue Swan App which will be ready end of 2016.
B- Further expanding de BSA/BSA tot projects and general public.
2017:
A- Plans to be made in december 16.
B- Milestone 31-dec-2017: Absolute Safety is a fact!
Is it really possible?
Yes it is since 27th of December 2014 available. No abracadabra, not philosophical, not psychological, no hocus pocus, no believe…but just a systematical instrument, a tool. The Blue Swan theory has been tested since 2006 on large infrastructural and petro-chemical project with success.
The keyword is Serendipity!
But Serendipity captured in the golden triangle-model:
1-Efficiency ( climbing mountains while leaving nothing behind including yourself )
2-Serendipty ( finding something worthwhile while looking for something else …with sagacity and focus )
3-Project. ( Goal x Will x Way )
These 3 words have one word in common and that is the word Goal.
History 2000 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - july 2016
Plans in step 1 in Q3,4 2016 and in 2017 to reach Milestone on 31-december-2017
Explanation of the Blue Swan Theory which generates Serendipity ( or luck ):
1- Take two goals ( work & hobby/dream ) otherwise you hinkle. It is about the interaction between the 2 goals that will reveal hidden things / worlds ( that is serendipity! )
2- Be a yes-person. Have some gutz! In every person is a Sherlock and a Watson. Help each other quickly and even unasked. It will generate serendipity.
3- Reach you goals at the cost of nothing at all ( also not yourself ). With this 3rd rule you must think hard about your solution(s) for a challenge. This will also generate serendipity.
Do 1,2 & 3 at the same time
and you will get a Serendipity Rain.
Q3-16 Q4 Q1-17 Q2 Q3 Q4-17
Time Line
Angela Merkel: "Absolute Safety does not exist". She's stated that ( as a Watson ) without knowing that the Blue Swan has landed on Earth on 27th of December 2014. But in politics she's a Sherlock.
Alfred J.Bollebakker a.k.a. The Beast a Sherlock in Absolute Safety and a Watson in politics. But he is efficient and learns fast. Will Angela keep up?
The Circle of Knowledge
STEP 2: Use the Pyramid Principle, do NOT judge the past but analyse it. Judging is NOT efficient. It will generate unserendipity.
STEP 3: Serendipity Diary for The Absolute Safety Project ( for Angela Merkel ). End date 31-dec-2017
Date | Serendipity Event | What did you do to Generate the Serendipity. And what's the effect on time, budget, quality, safety or health. | Actions: | Challenge Milestone |
22-jul-16 | Unserendipity Event in Munchen! | Website built | ||
31-dec-17 | Absol. Safety |
Organizational Intelligence Table ( for the Absolute Safety Project )
Item | Hard Skills | Description | July-16 | Aug-16 | Sep-16 | Oct-16 | Nov-16 | Dec-16 | Jan-17 | Feb-17 | Mar-17 | |
1 | Hard Skill | Safety & Security | 5 | |||||||||
2 | Hard Skill | Health | 5 | |||||||||
3 | Hard Skill | Quality | 5 | |||||||||
4 | Hard Skill | Time | 5 | |||||||||
5 | Hard Skill | Budget | 5 | |||||||||
6 | Hard Skill | Profit ( R.O.I = the Key ) | 5 | Parable of the Talents | ||||||||
7 | Hard Skill | Human Resources | 5 | |||||||||
8 | Hard Skill | Serendipity | 5 | |||||||||
9 | Hard Skill | Innovation | 5 | |||||||||
10 | Soft Skill | Communication Inside Org. | 5 | |||||||||
11 | Soft Skill | Communication Outside Org. | 5 | |||||||||
12 | Soft Skill | Co-operation | 5 | |||||||||
13 | Soft Skill | Compliance | 5 | |||||||||
14 | Soft Skill | Flexibility | 5 | |||||||||
15 | Soft Skill | Endurance | 5 | |||||||||
16 | Soft Skill | Gutz | 5 | |||||||||
17 | Soft Skill | Alertness | 5 | |||||||||
18 | Soft Skill | Team Spirit | 5 | |||||||||
19 | Soft Skill | Six Sense | 5 | |||||||||
Total Score | 5 |
The table above is the OI ( Organizatioal Intelligence ). It can be filled in by a person, a team, etc. In the App that will be avialable end of 2016 it is addable. At the start of a project all items gets a 5. During the project it can rise to a 10 or fall into 0 ( You or the Project does not exist anymore ! )
OI - Organizational Intelligence Graph ( for the Absolute Safety Project )
Jul-16 | Aug-16 | Sep-16 | Oct-16 | Nov-16 | Dec-16 | Jan-17 | Feb-17 | Mar-17 | Apr-17 | Mei-17 | |
10 | |||||||||||
9.5 | |||||||||||
9 | |||||||||||
8.,5 | |||||||||||
8 | |||||||||||
7,5 | |||||||||||
7 | |||||||||||
6.5 | |||||||||||
6 | |||||||||||
5.5 | |||||||||||
5 | Jul-16 | ||||||||||
4.5 | |||||||||||
4 | |||||||||||
3.5 | |||||||||||
3 | |||||||||||
2.5 | |||||||||||
2 | |||||||||||
1.5 | |||||||||||
1 | |||||||||||
0.5 | |||||||||||
0 |
Excellent
Good
Sufficient
Must be better
Start
Danger Zone
Very ILL !!
Terminated / Dead
- Imtech, Fyra, Barings Bank, Lehman Brothers...etc.